Which of Chicago’s Prospects performed best last season?

Chicago’s rebuild saw Jimmy Butler traded to Minnesota for prospects Kris Dunn, Zach LaVine, and draft rights to Lauri Markkanen. Among these prospects, which should fans look forward most to developing?

By looking at win-shares (primer here), we can see an informed estimate to the total contribution an individual makes to their team’s success. From that, we can also calculate (methodology here) and compare each player’s salary to the $ value they produced for the team.

Chicago - Salary vs productivity

Usually, teams that rebuild usually give less playing time to vets with big contracts in order to give the younger, sometimes less talented players, more experience to develop and grow. That’s the case here for Robin Lopez and Omer Asik, so we shouldn’t look too much into it.

Instead, this gives us an opportunity to check up on which of the prospects are fighting hardest to have a future in the NBA. We can see Chicago’s prospects at PF, Lauri Markkanen and Bobby Portis, were the two most impactful players on the court.

Guards Denzel Valentine, Jerian Grant, and David Nwaba came out with stronger performances than their teammates as well.

We should also be cognizant that this measures total productivity throughout the season, so a player like Zach LaVine produced less than he would if he was healthy throughout the season. Kris Dunn also missed ample playing time, which affected his score as well.


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