The Celtics Have a Bright Future to Look Forward to

A gruesome injury to Gordon Hawyard in the beginning of the season could’ve dampened Boston’s chances to compete, but the emergence of Boston’s young core helped the team exceed expectations, only losing the conference finals by 1 game.

By looking at win-shares (primer here), we can see an informed estimate to the total contribution an individual makes to their team’s success. From that, we can also calculate (methodology here) and compare each player’s salary to the $ value they produced for the team.

Boston - Salary vs productivity

A comparative analysis of each player’s contributions to the team showed who shared the load, and that was spread out among Boston’s young core.

The results are unsurprising to Celtics fans. Jayson Tatum emerged as the third piece for the team while Terry Rozier became the fourth best performer on the team, causing pundits to question whether Kyrie should be traded (he shouldn’t). We also saw a strong performance from Jaylen Brown and Daniel Theis.

Boston fans should be extremely happy with the results. They have a young core they can build on and the return of Hayward and Irving from injuries shows a promising run at Eastern Conference titles.

 

Tables

Name Win share 2017-18 Salary $ Value of Productivity
Gordon Hayward 0.00 $29,727,900 $0.00
Al Horford 7.80 $27,734,405 $16,901,654.64
Kyrie Irving 8.90 $18,868,625 $19,285,221.32
Jayson Tatum 7.10 $5,645,400 $15,384,839.48
Marcus Morris 3.20 $5,000,000 $6,934,012.16
Greg Monroe 3.40 $5,000,000 $7,367,387.92
Jaylen Brown 4.50 $4,956,480 $9,750,954.60
Marcus Smart 1.90 $4,538,020 $4,117,069.72
Aron Baynes 3.00 $4,328,000 $6,500,636.40
Guerschon Yabusele 0.60 $2,247,480 $1,300,127.28
Terry Rozier 5.60 $1,988,520 $12,134,521.28
Shane Larkin 1.40 $1,524,305 $3,033,630.32
Semi Ojeleye 1.20 $1,291,892 $2,600,254.56
Daniel Theis 3.50 $815,615 $7,584,075.80
Jabari Bird 0.20 $50,000 $433,375.76
Jonathan Gibson 0.20 $44,495 $433,375.76
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